IMS Health, Inc. (RX)
Discount cash flow analysis
Price history
Sensitivity matrix
|
-1% |
Discount Rate % 0% |
1% |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1% | $17.01 | $16.84 | $16.67 | |
| Terminal Growth% | 0 | $17.03 | $16.85 | $16.69 |
| +1% | $17.04 | $16.87 | $16.70 |
How does a change in discount rate or terminal growth affect valuation?
This table shows the sensitivity of the valuation to two key variables - the discount rate and the terminal growth rate
Valuations and comments
- Valuecruncher created a new valuation of $36.07 (undervalued by 64.1%) - 9 years ago
- Diegoengel created a new valuation of $23.58 (undervalued by 12.07%) - 11 years ago
- GordonGekko created a new valuation of $16.85 (undervalued by 21.4%) - 12 years ago
Comments
The boring details
| All amounts in millions | Figures |
| Enterprise Value: | 3,781 |
| Net Debt (Long-term borrowings less cash): | -215 |
| Equity Value: | 2,524 |
| Number of Shares Outstanding: | 181,000,000 |
| Calculated value per share: | $16.85 |
Enterprise Value is the present value of the post-tax cash flows for a business into the future.
Where:
- C1, C2, C3 - the cash flow in period 1, 2, 3, ...
- r - the discount rate
To capture the cash flows into the future a terminal value is calculated via a perpetuity calculation -
based on the final years forecast post-tax free cash flow.
Where:
- Cn - the cash flow in the final forecast period.
- LTG - the long-term growth rate
- r - the discount rate
- g - the terminal growth rate
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is used to determine the equity component in the discount rate.
Where:
- rt - the risk free rate
- t - the tax rate
- B - the beta of the company
- MRP - the Market Risk Premium
Valuecruncher uses an estimate of Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) to determine the discount rate in the calculation.